Showing posts with label counsell. Show all posts
Showing posts with label counsell. Show all posts

Thursday, December 1, 2011

Adam Kennedy to Dodgers

So as important as the search for a shortstop and for a decent bullpen is, as well as figuring out the futures of both first and third, finding quality bench players is also key.

I haven't really discussed this before, but all three of the Brewers' major bench players from a season ago have left. Counsell may or may not retire, but won't be offered a contract from the Brewers. Mark Kotsay has taken a spot with his hometown Padres, and Jack Wilson was let go.

We have a decent 4th outfielder in Carlos Gomez, but it stops there. Perhaps we can pick up a guy from the minors (maybe Zelous Wheeler?) but we should probably find a veteran infielder and a veteran outfielder to keep the team together.

Adam Kennedy was one of those guys. He can hit a little, and plays practically everywhere. He just signed a 1 year contract with the Dodgers worth $800k, and up to $150k in incentives. That is somebody we couldn't have used, and I hope GM Doug Melvin isn't too preoccupied with his other searches to find us something usefull (and I hope we have the money). However, we have had some luck with waiver pick ups before (see Joe Inglett and last years Jack Wilson as examples.

Later.

Monday, December 14, 2009

Deals finalized, Pitching Breakdown

Randy Wolf passed his physical and was introduced to the press today. I just have to say what a classy fellow. About as well spoken as one can be, and really appears to be a student of the game. Say what you want about the Brewers signing older players, but guys like Jeff Suppan, Jason Kendall, and Randy Wolf are some of the best people I have seen talk, especially when it comes to the subject of baseball, which definitely is something good to have around when 7 of your position players are under 25...

So the breakdown on Wolf's contract is out too. It plays out as 9.25 in '10, 9.5 in both '11 and '12 with a $10 million club option for 2013 that comes with a $1.5 million buyout. Deal totals 3 years, $29.75 million guaranteed.

Craig Counsell has officially resigned, and he'll be coming in later this week for his physical. Is deal is a straight one year pact, without the option many thought it would take to get done. He'll receive a $2.1 million base pay with $500k in incentives based on games played and starts. Forgoing any injury to a starter he is still likely to make at least half of the incentives.

Also, the Claudio Vargas deal that has been in the works for over a week now is finally done. No word on the money, but Claudio should be in early next week for the physical.



So now the big story. What will the Brewers pitching staff look like next season? GM Doug Melvin has said that the Brewers will not be pursuing any more big free agents, except of course for Mark Mulder who will throw for the Brewers in January and is expected to take a minor league deal. So pending any trades (which may still happen) this is what we have.

Starters:
Gallardo (100% lock)
Wolf (100% lock)
Parra (Melvin said likely lock)
Bush (Seems likely after arbitration offer)
Suppan (may see a trade or release, or a move to long relief)
Narveson (doubtful, but nice September in '09 may have him competing)
Burns (will be AAA security)
Halama (AAA security)

Relievers
Hoffman, Closer (100%)
Coffey, Setup (100%)
Hawkins, Setup (100%)
Stetter, Lefty (100%)
Vargas, Middle (near 100%)
Villanueva, Long Man (likely after McClung's non-tendering)
Lofgren, 2nd Lefty (good shot being Rule 5 pick)
Smith, Middle (doubtful but may compete, AAA)
Butler, Middle (doubtful, probably want more season, may compete)
Riske, Middle (0%, DL to start, may come back)
Narveson, Swing Man/Lefty (may go to pen and spot start)
Dillard, Middle (doubtful but may compete, AAA)
Axford, Middle (doubtful, more seasoning, might compete)

With that in order the rotation I see as of this second is: Gallardo, Wolf, Parra, Bush, Suppan. With the bullpen shaping out from top to bottom as: Hoffman, Coffey, Hawkins, Stetter, Villanueva, Vargas, and then Lofgren or Narveson filling out the last spot. I'm sure it will be a competition, but Narveson has options left and it may be a better idea to let him start in AAA then have to offer Lofgren back to Cleveland.

I think Dave Bush will bounce back, as he has been nothing but dependable for the last 4 years and his injury may have played a large role in his struggles last year. Also, I can't imagine Suppan coming in out of the 'pen. I'm hoping he gives us 180 innings with an ERA of 5.00. As for in the bullpen, that will probably be more of a battle in Spring Training. If Lofgren looks really bad I'm sure the Crew will let him go, there are plenty of other options. I also see Narveson getting the true long man spot, as I think Villanueva is most valuable as a middle reliever who can throw 2 or 3 innings. Narveson threw well in relief and made some nice starts last season. I think both Butler and Axford have futures, but I think the front office feels the same way, and would prefer to get them some more time in the minors. Some of these guys could be great projects for new pitching coach Rick Peterson, who is apparently the King of Mechanics. Burns and Halama provide some decent options in AAA in case of injury or a Suppan explosion. Also, a pick up of Mark Mulder could be another option for the rotation, and if he is signed on a minor league deal (as is likely) he can start the year in the minors.

I wonder if a trade isn't swung yet. Part of me feels like Suppan has some kind of value. Don't get be wrong the Brewers would have to eat most of the money (probably 10.5 of the 12.5 million dollars owed this year) but to even clear up 2 million dollars and the roster spot would be beneficial.

So realistic predictions might put out something like Gallardo with a 3.5o, Wolf with a 4.00, Bush a 4.50 and both Suppan and Parra with a 5.00 ERA. If they all have the same innings this would average out to a 4.40 rotation ERA (well more than a run better than last season). The 'pen should be solid, and the Brewers should still score some runs.... Hmm Hmm Hmmmm. I wonder how things will shake out.

Enough for now. Brew Up.



P.S. Mike Cameron agreed to a two year $15.5 million deal with Boston. Probably for the best we let him go. But good for Mike. I made the point before that Cam' is only 35 home runs and 4 stolen bases from the 300 plateau in each category. If he could reach both he would become only the ninth player ever to do so. Even if Mike puts up sub career average numbers, after the end of this contract he would rather easily have a career line of 2000 games, 1100 runs, 1800 hits, 400 doubles, 300 HRs, 1000 RBIs, and 300 SB. Along with his 3 gold gloves and and All-Star appearance I think that makes Mike a Hall of Famer. I've also previously argued for a Jason Kendall HoF bid.

Seriously enough though now. Brew Up.

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Vargas, Counsell, McClung, Rule 5

Hey everyone,

Just quickly, while it hasn't been finished yet it is generally accepted the reliever Claudio Vargas will be back with the Brewers on a one year deal.

There has been a lot of back and forth between GM Doug Melvin and the agent for Craig Counsell, and a deal with some team (most probably the Brewers) is expected to be completed on Monday. It seems as if most people think it will be around two million dollars, and probably not with a second year, and option is likely.

The day to offer contracts to players under team control is Saturday night, but the story has been broke that the Brewers will not extend an offer to righty Seth McClung. Seth wrote a very nice goodbye note via his twitter page. He thanks almost every coach by name, except interestingly enough for Ken Macha... I guess hypothetically McClung could be back, but with the resigning of Vargas and the addition of LaTroy Hawkins and the depth of guys like Halama, Narveson, and Burns he really has become expendable. He was due a raise and likely would've landed in the $2 million range.

The Brewers made a selection in the major league phase of the rule 5 draft. They did not have any of their players selected in any phase. They took lefty Chuck Lofgren from the Indians in exchange for $50k. The Brewers must keep Lofgren on their 25 man roster for the season or offer him back to Cleveland for $25k. The Brewers also took a pitcher last year but did not keep him past Spring Training... I think he was from Tampa. Lofgren was once a top prospect, but has fallen off lately. He has pitched mostly as a starter, with decent K and BB numbers. Last season he was great at AA, but struggled at AAA. He will probably looked at an early inning lefty option to ease the work load on Mitch Stetter. A nice project for Rick Henderson.

That's it for now, way too busy. Brew Up.

Monday, December 7, 2009

Counsell, Wolf, etc.

The Brewers have said that they want a decision from veteran utility infielder Craig Counsell before the Winter Meetings are over. They don't need to sign him, but they want to know whether he will be back or not, for sure. Says Melvin, "Craig's a good player and a veteran guy. We'd like to have him back." In case he isn't the Brewers have already made some moves, including minor league journeyman infielder Adam Heether to the 40 man roster and claim infielder Luis Cruz off waivers from the Pirates.

Reliever Mark DeFelice who is expected to miss all of 2010 after under going shoulder surgery may be back on a minor league deal. As I expected this will intensify the Brewers' search for bullpen help. Melvin has said that they have had contact with some agents, but nothing real solid as of yet.

It was well known that Melvin had told Jason Kendall's agent Arn Tellum that $5 million was too much for a catcher and given him a number, and that number is finally out. As you could've guessed by Zaun's 1.9 million dollar deal $2 million was the cap. Arn said no thanks, and the two parted ways. Zaun's contract does include up to 600k in incentives based on games played though...

The USA today claims that a Randy Wolf signing is imminent, but interestingly enough Wolf's agent (also Arn Tellum) has yet to arrive at the meetings... Things could have been ironed out before hand though. It is typically policy to not announce signing until a physical has been made as well...

Also, there again claims to be interest in Brewers right fielder Corey Hart. One team that came up specifically was the Rockies. I'm not sure why they Brewers would do this, as in the minors Matt Gamel is all there is, and as he is not an outfielder, it would just create another hole.

Also, the idea of swapping out Jeff Suppan in a trade of bad contracts was put out there, not really a rumor just an interesting idea. The name that was brought up was Juan Pierre, the speedy Dodgers outfielder who is owed 18.5 million over the next two years. Suppan will make $12.5 this season with a $2 million buyout for his 2011 option. Interesting idea, as Pierre has a nice career OBP, is a base stealer and bats from the left side. Also, the Dodgers are very short on pitching, and maybe Suppan would fair better in the cavernous Dodger Field. Soup also lives in LA... Just an interesting thought.

Friday, December 4, 2009

More Zaun, Counsell, Oeltjen

It's been reported that the Brewers have submitted an offer now to Craig Counsell. It doesn't seem likely anything will happen before next week's Winter Meetings when GM Doug Melvin can meet with Craig's agent, Barry Meister, face to face. While Melvin won't say whether he is willing to go over one year for Craig, it seems likely that is what the market will demand, or at least some form of a mutual option.

In other news Brewers signed lefty outfielder Trent Oeltjen to a minor league deal with an invitation to Spring Training. Trent made his big league debut with the D'backs last season and hit .243 with 3 hr and 3 sb in 24 games. Seems like he may compete for a back up outfielder position, or at least provide some AAA depth.

Some other notes on the Zaun signing. Like I said before it is a 1 year deal paying 1.9 million with a 2.25 million dollar club option and 250k buyout. There are 600k in incentives based on games played (no idea how many, but I would guess that at least the first few are very reasonable). Also, Gregg said that during talks with Melvin he was asked about mentoring, which Zaun seemed more than pleased to do. This may be related to bringing up Lucroy to back Gregg up. Also, Zaun said that he is ready to go out there and catch 4 of 5 starters, not an uncommon thing, which would equate to around 130 starts. I think 110 might be more realistic, but that may be more related to how well guys are playing.

It for now. Winter meetings start next week, should be fun. Just in case anyone was wonder, Melvin said the Brewers won't be in on any Roy Halliday trades... how surprising... Brew Up.

New Wolf, Counsell, Zaun

Couple quick things.

Supposedly the Brewers are one of several teams to be "aggressive" towards signing free agent lefty Randy Wolf. Weak rumors that the Crew has already submitted an offer (it seems unlikely Wolf would sign until after John Lackey, the #1 free agent starter). Wolf became a more viable option after the Dodgers decided to not offer him arbitration, as Randy is a type A free agent, but will no longer require a draft pick to sign. He made $5 million last year and put up a 3.23 era and a 1.10 whip. This was his best season since 2002, but will likely see 3+ years at perhaps $10 million+ a season.

Gregg Zaun has said that he will sign today. Zaun said the teams were either the Brewers, Rockies, Rays, or Mariners. I personally don't see the Rays after they declined his option though...

Brewers GM Doug Melvin has said that he hopes to submit an offer to infielder Craig Counsell at the Winter Meetings. A while back it was said that 12 teams were interested in Counsell, who is seeking (and probably deserving) a multi-year deal. A comparison made was Alex Cora's recent signing for $2 million as a starting point.

I'm sure I'll have another one by the end of the day. Patience, Brew Up.

Monday, November 9, 2009

Roster Updates, More tidbits.

First and foremost I suppose is the addition of utility man Adam Heether to the 40 man roster. A 2003 11th round draft pick, Heether would have become a free agent if he hadn't been added. Adam can play 2nd, 3rd, and short, as has spent some time in the OF. The righty put up a good season in '09, hitting .296 with 16 HR and an OBP of .400. Looks like he will be competing for a bench position. 40 man roster currently stands at 37, can be down to 34 if/when Craig Counsell, Claudio Vargas, and David Weathers apply for free agency.

Some more tidbits for you now-
Tom Hardicourt sees Counsell back again next season, saying that the Brewers paid for Craig's knee surgery, suggesting a return.

Related to above, Hardicourt sees the 'Crew offering arbitration to Vargas as well.

Buster Olney describes the Brewers as one of the teams ready and willing to go after John Lackey... interesting to see a few days after Lackey's name came up in a call with GM Doug Melvin.

The team has until Saturday to make a decision regarding Braden Looper's 6.5 million dollar option. More and more signs point towards no, I agree.



It for now. Hopefully this week I can put another feature up, maybe finish up minor league awards. Brew Up.

Saturday, October 31, 2009

My Halloween Birthday Brewers Blog

So it's my B-day, and yes, it's Halloween. In celebration I'm going to randomly talk about some stuff that I would be interested in seeing, trade ideas I may have, and talk about some players that I like.

Mike Cameron-
I like Mike. I hope to see him back in Center next year, but hopefully at a reduced rate (5 mil?) Here is something to think about for Mike. This season he became I believe just the 20th player in the history of the game to hit 250HR and steal 250 bases. Cam only needs 6 more SB, and if he hits just 35 more bombs, he could become just the seventh player ever to do that. To me that is a Hall of Fame career.

Jonathan Lucroy-
This kid can hit, and has seemingly passed Angel Salome on the depth charts to be the Brewers' number one catching prospect. In a story recently on Brewers.com Lucroy said, "I'm not going to settle for being in the Minor Leagues next year..." I'm apposed to bringing back Kendall, and would like to see Angel and Jonathan slug it out in Spring Training, with Rivera backing up once again.


David Bush-
Not a bad guy to throw into a trade somewhere. He has done a nice job of giving the Brewers some innings the last few seasons, but I think his time is over. Gallardo and Suppan are for all intensive purposes locks for the rotation, and it's too early to give up on Parra, there is Narveson and Burns for depth, and GM Doug Melvin is looking to pick up 2 arms this off season. Bye Bye Bushy. He's coming off a poor season but has been durable in the past, trade him for whatever, somebody has to want him...

Craig Counsell-
I'm ready for one more season of Craig. He can't take too much to bring back, and I kind of doubt he wants to play anywhere else. He still picks it at 3 defensive positions, and with his new found hitting ability can contribute at the dish.


This season could actually be pretty damn good. This off season could hypothetically get pretty crazy, and I don't know if Melvin is up for it, but it could kinda get nuts. We have all sorts of people available for trade. J.J. Hardy is one of the more prized SS available and should net something decent. Matt Gamel is a top notch prospect that could now be expendable. Bush is somebody that could go. Hypothetically one of our catching prospects could go. We need two starters and a center fielder... get crazy, have some fun with it. Giants need a 1B and a SS... maybe we could pry away one of those fine starters they have...

That's it for now. Happy Birthday to me. Brew Up.